Construction Securities (12.7): Copper and Aluminum

The "Risk Warning" section of the magazine aims to describe the risk of long and short positions through the icon of the star flag. It is used as a reference for investors when dealing with open positions. In actual operation, investors need to trade according to their own short-term midlines. Different strategies and different varieties of fluctuations in the characteristics of a specific grasp. The specific star classification criteria are as follows: ☆ The reverse run range of new-year closing price may be less than 2%. ☆ ☆ The reverse run range of new-year closing price may be greater than 2%. ☆☆ ☆ The period price is the reverse of the newer closing. The rate may be greater than 3%. ☆☆☆☆ The reverse run of the period from the newer closing may be greater than 4%. ☆☆☆☆☆ The reverse run of the period from the newer closing may be greater than 5% Risk Warning: Bulls: ☆ Short Risks: ☆ Tips before the market: Orient: Copper: Technical selling pressured yesterday. The LME copper prices in March showed a downward trend in the turmoil yesterday. However, due to the emergence of arbitrage, the price rebounded and ended at 3002.5 US dollars. / Ton, compared with the previous trading day fell 25.5 US dollars / ton, fluctuations in the range of 3125 to 2975.5 US dollars / ton. After the new US dollar index hit a new high in the previous trading day, it rebounded yesterday under the influence of US government officials. It caused a certain deterrent effect on the price of copper. At the same time, the inventory of LME copper increased by 225 tons yesterday, which also caused a certain negative impact on copper prices. Yesterday, domestic copper exhibited a trend of a sharp decline. Relatively speaking, due to the close to the spot month, the January contract was stronger, and the far-month contract reached a new low after the low limit last Friday. Yesterday, the domestic spot price was 31300~31,450 yuan/ton. Operation is still dominated by rebounds. Aluminium: Yesterday, LME's aluminum in March was affected by a sharp drop in stocks, which showed a slight increase. It ended up at 1822.5 US dollars/ton. However, due to the recent US dollar likely to rebound to a certain extent, this will put aluminum prices under pressure. The domestic Shanghai aluminum exhibited a turbulent trend yesterday, but it was stronger than the copper price. This was related to the fact that the aluminum price did not rise or fall when the previous copper price rose sharply. At the same time, due to the aluminum production cost factor, it will limit the aluminum price from falling sharply. Yesterday, the domestic spot price did not change very much, and it reported 15660~15680 yuan/ton. Overseas Express: LME Market Report: London December 6 news: The London Metal Exchange (LME) base metal closed mixed on Monday, following a heavy fund selling last week, the metal is still vulnerable. A trader said, " The current market is boring. The impact of last week's sell-off is still very cautious. "But analysts pointed out that metal prices have rebounded. SempraMetals analyst John Kemp pointed out that the average daily volume fell during most of this year, while the price is steady Higher prices and market shocks have become even more extreme. For example, LME Copper's average trading volume in November was around 69,000 tons, which is about 21,000 tons lower than in October. ManFinancial pointed out that the key US economic data has generally improved this year. People concerned about these data to explore its possible impact on the US dollar trend. Its daily report said, "This should help the metal maintain stability, but there will be occasional sharp but short-term corrections in the transaction." The market is fully concerned about the trend of the US dollar. In particular, after the recent sustained weakness, the US dollar rose on Monday, but traders said that its longer-term trend will still be a decline. The three-month copper trade closed at US$2,990/ton, which is higher than the previous month. On Friday, the consolidated trading price closed at $12. Traders expect the copper futures market to fluctuate within the range of 2,960/70-3,040/50. The three-month aluminum situation is similar to that of copper, which also benefits from the weak dollar and consumer buying. It closed higher at US$14 to 1,822 per tonne. Three-month nickel fell by US$50 to US$12,925 per tonne. Three-month zinc fell by US$4 to 1,168. Three-month lead dropped by US$0.50 to 951. Three-month nickel fell. 5 dollars to 8,770 yuan per ton. COMEX Copper Market Report: NEW YORK, December 6: Copper futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (COMEX) closed lower on Monday with the London Metal Exchange (LME), as the year-end neighboring funds and speculators seem to be locking in profits; Reducing losses during the session was attributed to favorable fundamental factors. One trader said, "I think at the end of the year, I would like to take some profit-making activities. However, today's market conditions are generally very quiet." March is a more active trading period. About 0.70 cents to close at 1.3845 US dollars per pound, trading range was 1.3650-1.3910. The spot December contract fell about 0.15 cents to 1.4335. In other months, the contract fell 0.70 from the close to 0.30 cents, ranging from a few Several forward contracts set contract highs. The estimated trading volume was approximately 6,000 lots, which was last Friday at 11,975. As of last Friday, the number of positions decreased by 1,909 to 92,317.

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