According to the PPI data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on February 15, the non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry ex-factory prices rose by 2.8%. Among them, the price of copper smelting products increased by 4.4%, the price of zinc smelting products increased by 1.9%, the price of aluminum smelting products increased by 1.8%, and the price of lead smelted products increased by 1.6%.
Since last year, most of the non-ferrous metals products led by copper are on the rise. Entering 2011, Chang Jiang Securities (000783) analyst Ge Jun believes that due to the gradual improvement of basic metal supply and demand, and Western countries, especially the United States to reduce unemployment and stimulate the economy, it is expected that the possibility of continuing to maintain accommodative monetary policy in 2011 is more likely In addition, the state-owned economy may be re-entering the restocking stage in 2011, and several factors will make metal prices more likely to rise further in 2011 (especially in the first half of the year).
In non-ferrous metal products, copper is a relatively large increase in products, hitting record highs.
In the international market, London's LME market three-month copper prices closed at 10,160 US dollars per ton on the 14th, up 199 US dollars, after-hours trading rose to a record high of 1,017,25 US dollars. On the 15th, the Shanghai ** Exchange’s copper ** also opened sharply, hitting a new high since May 2006.
Ge Jun believes that due to the high concentration of global supply of copper resources, the supply and demand side in 2011 has become tighter, so it is still optimistic about the future rise in copper prices. At the same time, a number of investment banking institutions have also raised expectations of the trend of copper prices, that copper products in 2011 is still in short supply, and is expected to exceed $ 11,000 / ton.
Copper is mainly used in downstream industries such as home appliances and electrical equipment. Zhu Lin, an analyst at Shanghai Nonferrous Metals, told reporters that the constant rise in the price of copper is not transmitted to end users as fast as the price increase. The key is whether copper processing companies can obtain enough orders. .
Compared with copper, aluminum prices rose much less than copper due to unfavorable fundamentals of supply and demand, but this year it is still rising. At present, the aluminum price is between 16,700 yuan/ton to 16,800 yuan/ton, while the historical high is above 20,000 yuan/ton.
However, Zhang Xiao, an analyst at Shanghai Nonferrous Network, believes that due to the fast entry into the consumer season and loose monetary policy abroad, factors such as metals will be bullish, and aluminum prices are expected to increase in the future.
The zinc is similar to aluminum. The current zinc price is between 19,000 yuan/ton and 20,000 yuan/ton, and the average price was 18,392 yuan/ton in January.
Many galvanized processing companies can still pass on the rise in zinc prices to downstream companies such as automobiles, toys, and hardware. Xiao Lili, an analyst at Shanghai Nonferrous Network, told reporters that although zinc prices are also rising, there is still a gap between the historical highs of more than 30,000 yuan/ton and the space for future upside is still relatively large. After all, the current cost of zinc smelting companies purchases mines. It is relatively high and the demand for zinc is also expected to increase compared to last year.
The spot price of domestic lead this year is also rising, from 17,100 yuan/ton on January 4 to the current highest 17,400 yuan/ton. Zhang Shu, an analyst at Shanghai Nonferrous Network, pointed out to reporters that according to the current consumption situation in the downstream, the use of lead in automobiles and motorcycles is better. It is expected that the lead price may further increase after the Lantern Festival. Because many downstream companies do not produce during the Spring Festival, there is a large inventory of inventories. After the Lantern Festival, the operating rate of enterprises will increase, and the transportation situation will also improve.
Since last year, most of the non-ferrous metals products led by copper are on the rise. Entering 2011, Chang Jiang Securities (000783) analyst Ge Jun believes that due to the gradual improvement of basic metal supply and demand, and Western countries, especially the United States to reduce unemployment and stimulate the economy, it is expected that the possibility of continuing to maintain accommodative monetary policy in 2011 is more likely In addition, the state-owned economy may be re-entering the restocking stage in 2011, and several factors will make metal prices more likely to rise further in 2011 (especially in the first half of the year).
In non-ferrous metal products, copper is a relatively large increase in products, hitting record highs.
In the international market, London's LME market three-month copper prices closed at 10,160 US dollars per ton on the 14th, up 199 US dollars, after-hours trading rose to a record high of 1,017,25 US dollars. On the 15th, the Shanghai ** Exchange’s copper ** also opened sharply, hitting a new high since May 2006.
Ge Jun believes that due to the high concentration of global supply of copper resources, the supply and demand side in 2011 has become tighter, so it is still optimistic about the future rise in copper prices. At the same time, a number of investment banking institutions have also raised expectations of the trend of copper prices, that copper products in 2011 is still in short supply, and is expected to exceed $ 11,000 / ton.
Copper is mainly used in downstream industries such as home appliances and electrical equipment. Zhu Lin, an analyst at Shanghai Nonferrous Metals, told reporters that the constant rise in the price of copper is not transmitted to end users as fast as the price increase. The key is whether copper processing companies can obtain enough orders. .
Compared with copper, aluminum prices rose much less than copper due to unfavorable fundamentals of supply and demand, but this year it is still rising. At present, the aluminum price is between 16,700 yuan/ton to 16,800 yuan/ton, while the historical high is above 20,000 yuan/ton.
However, Zhang Xiao, an analyst at Shanghai Nonferrous Network, believes that due to the fast entry into the consumer season and loose monetary policy abroad, factors such as metals will be bullish, and aluminum prices are expected to increase in the future.
The zinc is similar to aluminum. The current zinc price is between 19,000 yuan/ton and 20,000 yuan/ton, and the average price was 18,392 yuan/ton in January.
Many galvanized processing companies can still pass on the rise in zinc prices to downstream companies such as automobiles, toys, and hardware. Xiao Lili, an analyst at Shanghai Nonferrous Network, told reporters that although zinc prices are also rising, there is still a gap between the historical highs of more than 30,000 yuan/ton and the space for future upside is still relatively large. After all, the current cost of zinc smelting companies purchases mines. It is relatively high and the demand for zinc is also expected to increase compared to last year.
The spot price of domestic lead this year is also rising, from 17,100 yuan/ton on January 4 to the current highest 17,400 yuan/ton. Zhang Shu, an analyst at Shanghai Nonferrous Network, pointed out to reporters that according to the current consumption situation in the downstream, the use of lead in automobiles and motorcycles is better. It is expected that the lead price may further increase after the Lantern Festival. Because many downstream companies do not produce during the Spring Festival, there is a large inventory of inventories. After the Lantern Festival, the operating rate of enterprises will increase, and the transportation situation will also improve.
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