Last year, the machinery industry's production and sales exceeded the 10 trillion mark for the first time. The machinery industry has been producing a new trillion yuan per year for seven consecutive years.
According to the Machinery Industry Federation, the growth rate of production and sales in 2010 will be about 15%, the profit growth rate will be about 10%, and the export earnings will increase by about 15%. The policy adjustment of the initial contraction will not change the industry recovery trend, but the industry will not have it in the short term. Out of the kinetic energy of the independent market, of course, with the gradual disclosure of the annual report and the recovery of exports, there are still many bright spots.
With the strong support of the macroeconomic recovery, the profitability of the machinery industry has changed significantly: since the bottom of the first quarter of 2009, the gross profit margin has continued to improve; we believe that the overall gross profit margin of the industry will continue to increase in 2010.
Under the influence of urbanization, the inertia of 4 trillion investment, and the high starting area of ​​real estate, the domestic demand will remain relatively stable. In addition, considering the recovery of export growth, the construction machinery industry will still be in 2010. Have a good performance. After the adjustment of the stock market, the safety margin of the engineering machinery sector has improved significantly, and investment opportunities have begun to emerge.
Investment strategy: short-term performance, long-term export. We expect that the export of construction machinery industry will bring surprises in 2010, but “it is not springâ€, we also hope that domestic demand will remain stable. Judging from the current situation, we still insist on the judgment that domestic demand is stable and exports are obviously improved. As a strong cyclical industry, the construction machinery industry is affected by the negative factors such as the credit crunch. It is difficult to have a strong upward momentum in the short term, but in the long run, it should be a good opportunity for strategic positions.
The difference in demand in the machine tool industry has led to the differentiation of the machine tool industry. In 2009, the overall performance of the gold-cutting machine tool showed a recovery trend. The annual sales volume was 580,300 units, down 5.98% year-on-year. According to the monthly data, the recovery trend is more obvious. Jinchee CNC machine tools performed better, with annual sales up 17.75% year-on-year, especially in November and December last year, with year-on-year figures exceeding 60%.
The differentiation of downstream industry demand has led to the differentiation of the development of the machine tool industry. The large-scale trend of China's equipment manufacturing industry constitutes the effective demand for high-end and heavy-duty CNC machine tools.
The railway equipment industry is not afraid of “adjustment†and the economy remains the same. China's railways plan to arrange fixed asset investment in 2010 will reach a record 823.5 billion yuan, of which railway infrastructure investment in the surge of 79% in 2009, will climb nearly 17% in 2010, reaching 700 billion yuan, the next three years, each year At least 700 billion yuan. In December 2009, the national railway freight turnover volume turned positive for the first time year-on-year, which indicates that the constraints of the Ministry of Railways' truck purchases have been ruled out, and the adjustment of macroeconomic policies has not hindered the “big hand†of the Ministry of Railways investment.
Railway investment has obvious anti-cyclicality, and policy adjustment does not hinder the industry's continued prosperity. In the next few years, in addition to ordinary passenger cars, locomotives, motor trains, trucks (the macroeconomic improvement and the separation of passenger and cargo space) will grow, and with the gradual completion of China's railway lines, online equipment, especially EMUs, will enter. The centralized delivery period, 2010 is the beginning.
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According to the Machinery Industry Federation, the growth rate of production and sales in 2010 will be about 15%, the profit growth rate will be about 10%, and the export earnings will increase by about 15%. The policy adjustment of the initial contraction will not change the industry recovery trend, but the industry will not have it in the short term. Out of the kinetic energy of the independent market, of course, with the gradual disclosure of the annual report and the recovery of exports, there are still many bright spots.
With the strong support of the macroeconomic recovery, the profitability of the machinery industry has changed significantly: since the bottom of the first quarter of 2009, the gross profit margin has continued to improve; we believe that the overall gross profit margin of the industry will continue to increase in 2010.
Under the influence of urbanization, the inertia of 4 trillion investment, and the high starting area of ​​real estate, the domestic demand will remain relatively stable. In addition, considering the recovery of export growth, the construction machinery industry will still be in 2010. Have a good performance. After the adjustment of the stock market, the safety margin of the engineering machinery sector has improved significantly, and investment opportunities have begun to emerge.
Investment strategy: short-term performance, long-term export. We expect that the export of construction machinery industry will bring surprises in 2010, but “it is not springâ€, we also hope that domestic demand will remain stable. Judging from the current situation, we still insist on the judgment that domestic demand is stable and exports are obviously improved. As a strong cyclical industry, the construction machinery industry is affected by the negative factors such as the credit crunch. It is difficult to have a strong upward momentum in the short term, but in the long run, it should be a good opportunity for strategic positions.
The difference in demand in the machine tool industry has led to the differentiation of the machine tool industry. In 2009, the overall performance of the gold-cutting machine tool showed a recovery trend. The annual sales volume was 580,300 units, down 5.98% year-on-year. According to the monthly data, the recovery trend is more obvious. Jinchee CNC machine tools performed better, with annual sales up 17.75% year-on-year, especially in November and December last year, with year-on-year figures exceeding 60%.
The differentiation of downstream industry demand has led to the differentiation of the development of the machine tool industry. The large-scale trend of China's equipment manufacturing industry constitutes the effective demand for high-end and heavy-duty CNC machine tools.
The railway equipment industry is not afraid of “adjustment†and the economy remains the same. China's railways plan to arrange fixed asset investment in 2010 will reach a record 823.5 billion yuan, of which railway infrastructure investment in the surge of 79% in 2009, will climb nearly 17% in 2010, reaching 700 billion yuan, the next three years, each year At least 700 billion yuan. In December 2009, the national railway freight turnover volume turned positive for the first time year-on-year, which indicates that the constraints of the Ministry of Railways' truck purchases have been ruled out, and the adjustment of macroeconomic policies has not hindered the “big hand†of the Ministry of Railways investment.
Railway investment has obvious anti-cyclicality, and policy adjustment does not hinder the industry's continued prosperity. In the next few years, in addition to ordinary passenger cars, locomotives, motor trains, trucks (the macroeconomic improvement and the separation of passenger and cargo space) will grow, and with the gradual completion of China's railway lines, online equipment, especially EMUs, will enter. The centralized delivery period, 2010 is the beginning.
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