For a long time, the photovoltaic industry has been criticized by the outside world because the production chain in the industrial chain has experienced excessive overcapacity over the years. Under the continuous downturn of the industry, this culprit has almost become the “last straw†that weighs on many PV companies. Although this year, the overall recovery of the photovoltaic industry, including silicon wafers, batteries and components such as the gradual retreat of market demand, many companies to accelerate the process of de-capacity, and gradually remove the overcapacity "hat" trend. However, as everyone knows, the “storm†of overcapacity is shifting to the downstream of the industry and slowly fermenting as the development boom of photovoltaic power stations blows away.
A data that visualizes this trend is that the existing intentions, contracts, and photovoltaic projects under development that have been disclosed in China have reached 130 GW, which is even higher than the national newly-developed “twelve-five†target of 35 GW by 2015 More than three times more.
Behind the fiery investment, apart from the fact that the unreliability of corporate investment returns has become a common phenomenon, the more far-reaching, perhaps more serious, phenomenon of “discarding light†is making a group of large-scale power stations unable to escape.†The fate of sunbathing.
Including wind power, photovoltaic and other new energy industries in recent years, the development bottleneck commonly encountered is the problem of grid connection. In the past few years, wind power suffered from "disapproval of wind" and "power cuts" due to blind projects, which have caused the industry to "strengthen" to "lost power". Judging from the current status quo, this mistake seems to be repeated by the photovoltaic industry.
According to industry experts, due to the small scale, currently the phenomenon of “discarding†photovoltaic power stations in China is still not very prominent. However, with the continuous increase in the size of power stations, the future of photovoltaic grid-connected problems may even be more prominent than wind power.
Experts on the power grid have told reporters that the intermittent and uncontrollable nature of solar energy resources is more obvious than that of wind energy. Therefore, the impact of power generation on the safe and stable operation of power grids is even worse than that of wind power, especially in the weak coverage of the western power grid. The large-scale construction of large-scale ground-based photovoltaic power stations in the region, and many power stations in the future will encounter a large area of ​​"sunshine" phenomenon during the operation.
The report released recently by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is also straightforward. The photovoltaic power plant and the power grid construction period are not synchronized, and coordination between the power plant and the power grid development plan will remain the key to the further expansion of the domestic market.
To prevent photovoltaic power generation from retaking the old road of wind power, the most critical point is to steadily expand the installed capacity of power plants under the appropriate guidance of policies, guide capital rational investment, and diversify the domestic market to promote the healthy and orderly development of the industry.
On the one hand, at present, the 1 yuan/kWh price subsidy for the construction of large-scale ground power stations in the western region will be gradually reduced as the cost of power plants decreases year by year. The photovoltaic industry has always been a policy-dependent industry. It has rationally guided the market through policy subsidy adjustments. This has become a rule in photovoltaic countries such as Germany and Italy. For example, in Germany, the government will adjust the amount of policy subsidies at any time in accordance with the market supply and demand conditions so as to maintain the healthy and orderly operation of the market.
On the other hand, the road to diversification and start-up of the domestic photovoltaic power generation market has been taken seriously by policies. The policies and measures that focus on expanding demand in the central and eastern cities and the vast rural market, such as distributed photovoltaic demonstration areas and photovoltaic rural areas, are being actively promoted. This is a positive signal for those keen to invest in the various capital of photovoltaics, but many companies have reflected that investment in distributed photovoltaic power generation projects still involves a series of policy gaps such as investment and financing, preferential taxation, property rights trading and subsidies, etc. The future prospects for return on investment for such projects cannot always be clearly seen. Based on this, the road to diversification of photovoltaic power generation requires all parties to strengthen the study of policy mechanisms and may wish to learn from the proven experience of development abroad.
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