Abstract "China's robot market is showing a rapid development pattern, which not only brings opportunities for economic and social development, but also challenges economic and social development." According to media reports, Standard Chartered Bank released "China, ASEAN and Prospects" in July this year. In the report...
"China's robot market is showing a rapid development pattern, which brings opportunities for economic and social development as well as challenges for economic and social development." According to media reports, Standard Chartered Bank released the "China, ASEAN and Prospects" report released in July this year, surveyed more than 200 manufacturers in the Pearl River Delta region, these manufacturers expect an average salary increase of 7.2%. In this context, there are not a few entrepreneurs who want to use more robots instead of workers.
It is also in this context that China's robot market is showing a rapid development pattern. According to a report released by the International Federation of Robotics (IFR) in February this year, the Chinese industrial robot market has grown more than fivefold between 2010 and 2016. After 2013, China has become the world's largest industrial robot market for four consecutive years. China's share of the global market has been from 1/5 in 2013 to nearly 1/3 last year. The rapid development of the robot market has brought opportunities to economic and social development as well as challenges to economic and social development.
First of all, it is a challenge to the robot industry. Although the robot industry has not started for a long time, just as many emerging industries will encounter problems in the development process, the development of the robot industry will inevitably encounter some problems, among them, blind development, excessive development, low-end development, and no The development of order is a problem worthy of prevention.
Facts have proved that in the development of emerging industries such as photovoltaics, wind power, and new energy vehicles, all of them have been plagued by this aspect. From the current situation, the robot industry seems to have fallen into a blind, disorderly, low-end routine. Both qualified and unconditional companies are producing robots and are investing in the robotics industry. In particular, local governments have regarded the robot industry as an important means of industrial transformation, and introduced various preferential policies to introduce robot companies.
Regardless of whether it is a local government or a company, attaching importance to the robot industry, there is no problem in itself. The key is that we can no longer follow the old road of blind development, disorderly development and low-end development.
Second, it is a challenge to the enterprise. Robots are valued by more and more manufacturing companies, and many companies have the idea of ​​replacing existing workers with robots. However, whether this kind of thinking can become a reality, whether it can become an important means for enterprises to improve labor productivity, improve management level, and improve efficiency, can not be generalized.
Obviously, input costs and benefits are the key to whether companies use robots. Although the use of robots can save labor costs, it can also greatly reduce the impact of human factors on management. However, don't forget that one-time investment will increase greatly, which is a big challenge for most companies. On the one hand, whether it has sufficient economic strength and the ability to purchase a large number of robots, companies must carefully analyze. In the case that most companies have more difficult funds, this has obviously become a short board; on the other hand, whether the quality of robots can meet the needs of enterprises, and how many cheap robots are now unknown.
For most companies, buying robots that are both good and cheap is their main goal. In the case of the uneven robot industry and the robot market, it may not be easy to buy a cheap robot. Buying well, investing too much, buying in general, the risk is too great. This is indeed a big challenge for companies that use robots. After the robot is bought back, whether it can completely replace the labor, the maintenance cost and the long life, etc., is also a problem that needs serious consideration and analysis. Robots are not only opportunities but also challenges for manufacturing companies.
The most worrying thing is the challenge to employment. Most people believe that the rapid development of the robot industry and the rapid formation of the market will have a serious impact on the employees of the company and will have a serious impact on the employment of the residents. If it does not attract high attention, it will lead to many social contradictions.
The same is true. At present, the employment situation is not optimistic. Only 8 million college graduates need employment this year. In the next few years, there will be no shortage of people who need to arrange employment every year. If companies use robots extensively, the pressure on employment will be even greater. It should be noted that this is only a hypothesis, assuming that the robot market has maintained a momentum of rapid development. From the actual situation, it may not be as terrible as imagined.
From the basic pattern of employment, small and medium-sized enterprises are the main battlefields for employment, and the number of robots that small and medium-sized enterprises can use is very small. Then, vigorously supporting and developing small and medium-sized enterprises is the most effective means to deal with the impact of robots. How to use more social resources, government resources, policy resources, etc. to develop small and medium-sized enterprises and support small and medium-sized enterprises is the development thinking that all levels of government must establish.
(The author is a member of the China Private Economic Research Association and a financial commentator)
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