Since March, the phenomenon of “electricity shortage†in the off-season has appeared in many places in China. Zhejiang, Hunan, Jiangxi, Chongqing, Guizhou and other places all showed varying levels of power use, and various places have taken measures to limit electricity and make electricity. Why is there a lack of electricity during the low season? Lin Weibin, deputy director of the Energy and Strategic Resources Research Center of Beijing Normal University, said in an interview with Zhongxin.com Energy Channel that the contradiction between supply and demand of coal is the root cause of this round of “electricity shortageâ€. The fundamental measure to solve the problem is to raise electricity prices. The contradiction between supply and demand of coal is the main cause of “electricity shortage†On April 15, the National Development and Reform Commission issued a notice and warning. The supply and demand situation of electricity in most areas this year is tight. It is expected that the supply and demand gaps in East China, North China and South will be large during the summer peak period. However, what I did not expect was that this year’s “electricity shortage†was ahead of schedule. According to media reports, as of April 25, the monthly power limit of Huazhong Power Grid has reached more than 20 million kWh, and Zhejiang has suffered the most serious "electricity shortage" in seven years. In this regard, Lin Weibin said in an interview with Zhongxin.com Energy Channel that there is an "electricity shortage", which should be analyzed from the perspective of supply and demand. From the perspective of market demand, this year is the year of the "12th Five-Year Plan", investment The number of projects has increased, and at the same time, the project that has slowed down due to the national energy conservation and emission reduction policy at the end of the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†has a certain release, which has led to an increase in demand for electricity in the market. In addition, the growth rate of the tertiary industry and residents’ electricity consumption in the first quarter Accelerating also leads to power shortages; from a supply perspective, the fundamental reason is the shortage of coal, and the hydropower development is not smooth this year. "Hunan and Hubei provinces came late this year, the water supply is not smooth, and the development of hydropower is not optimistic, which brings some pressure on the power supply." Wang Ting and Lin Weibin of Zhuo Chuang Information Coal Network coincide with each other. Take Guizhou as an example. Since April, Guizhou has increased the integration of coal enterprises, shut down some small coal mines, and the decline in coal production has caused coal-fired power plants to rush, and power supply has tightened. Han Xiaoping, chief information officer of China Energy Network, believes that the biggest reason for the “electricity shortage†is the rising international oil prices. He believes that the rising international oil prices have led to an increase in transportation costs, which has led to a sharp rise in the price of thermal coal. On the other hand, the rising price of thermal coal has caused some power generation companies to generate less or no electricity, which has increased the tension in power supply. Electricity shortage will not become the norm With the arrival of the peak season in summer, will the “electricity shortage†spread to the whole country and become a normal state? Lin Weibin said that the tension is inevitable, but the "electricity shortage" will not be as serious as the market expects, and the state will introduce policies in a timely manner to ease the status quo. Wang Ting said that with the arrival of the peak period of electricity consumption, coal-fired enterprises will increase the intensity of coal storage, and the strong momentum of hydropower development in the later period will greatly ease the tension of coal. It is understood that although this year's major coal producing areas in Shaanxi Province due to coal resource integration and mergers and acquisitions, its raw coal production has been affected, but coal production in the main producing areas of Inner Mongolia, Shanxi and other areas continue to maintain rapid growth momentum, this year's total coal production The amount is guaranteed. Experts: Raise the price of electricity to solve the "electricity shortage" Liu Tienan, the director of the National Energy Administration, said recently that it is necessary to do all the power to peak the summer, and never allow residents to use electricity. The emergence of power shortages has forced local governments to make decisions on power-hungry enterprises to cut power. In addition, various localities have taken various measures to solve the power shortage. Wang Ting said that Hunan has adopted measures to regulate coal and electricity, and issued the 2011 special vehicle license for electric coal transportation in the province. The provincial coal transportation vehicles with this certificate are exempt from vehicle tolls, thus improving the efficiency of coal transportation; In Guizhou, the adjustment fund for electric coal out of the province was raised from the original 100 yuan per ton to 200 yuan per ton to curb coal export. Lin Weibin believes that the fundamental way to alleviate the "electricity shortage" is to adjust the energy price pricing system. The most urgent task is to raise the electricity price. Han Xiaoping also said that the real solution to the problem is to let the market price, break the monopoly of the grid company, and effectively allocate resources.
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