2012 is a key year for China to achieve the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†energy conservation and emission reduction targets. Recently, CCID Think Tank held the third of the CCID Academic Salon Series in Beijing – Industrial Energy Saving and Emission Reduction Forum, its industrial energy conservation and emission reduction trend forecasting group The report "Analysis and Forecast of China's Industrial Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction Trends in the Second Half of 2012" was released. The basic characteristics of China's industrial energy conservation and emission reduction and the main problems in the first half of the year were analyzed, and the trend of China's industrial energy conservation and emission reduction was predicted in the second half of the year. The measures suggest to provide decision-making reference for national energy conservation and emission reduction work. In the first half of the year, the industrial energy consumption growth rate slowed down, the energy consumption per unit of industrial added value decreased rapidly, and the industrial energy conservation and emission reduction showed five basic characteristics: the industrial energy conservation and emission reduction situation was better than expected; The energy consumption of high-energy industry accounts for a decline in the proportion of industrial energy consumption; some of the key energy-using industries have reduced the backward production capacity, and the technical energy-saving has become more difficult; the western industrial economy has developed rapidly, and the pressure on energy-saving and emission reduction has surged; The energy conservation and emission reduction work of enterprises has been promoted in an orderly manner From January to May, the energy consumption of added value of industrial units above designated size fell by 7.35%, exceeding the expected target of 5% annual decline. The electricity consumption of the four high-energy industries accounted for 43.8% of the total industrial electricity consumption, a decrease of 1 percentage point from the same period last year. Comparing and analyzing the target tasks of eliminating backward production capacity in the industrial sector in 2012 and 2011, the overall technical process equipment of some high-energy-consuming industries such as iron making, steel making and electrolytic aluminum has been at a high level, and the space for technical energy conservation has narrowed. From January to May, the growth rate of industrial added value of the 12 western provinces exceeded the national average (10.7%), and the growth rate of industrial electricity consumption in Xinjiang, Guizhou, Qinghai and Ningxia exceeded 10%, much higher than the national industrial electricity consumption. Average growth rate (3.7%). During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the state proposed to implement the energy-saving and low-carbon actions of 10,000 enterprises, and compared with the energy-saving and emission reduction work of key industrial energy-using enterprises by administrative means, the energy-saving and emission reduction work of small and medium-sized industrial enterprises Lack of motivation. Despite the good results in energy conservation and emission reduction in the first half of the year, the following problems still exist: First, the trend of industrial restructuring has not been fundamentally reversed. In the first five months of this year, although the growth rate of light industry was 1.2 percentage points faster than that of the industry, it is difficult to reverse the trend of industrial structure in the short term. Second, the emphasis on energy conservation and emission reduction of small and medium-sized industrial enterprises is insufficient. Some backward technological equipments are widely used in small and medium-sized industrial enterprises, and it is difficult for small and medium-sized industrial enterprises to obtain financial support for national energy conservation and emission reduction technologies. Third, there is a contradiction between economic development and energy conservation and emission reduction in the central and western regions. At least 10 provinces and cities in the central and western regions have proposed the goal of doubling the total economic output of the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€. The rapid economic growth requires major industrial projects to support, and the central and western regions face the dilemma of both accelerating economic development and energy conservation and emission reduction. . Analysis and forecast of industrial energy-saving emission reduction trend in the second half of the year With the introduction of specific measures for “steady growth and expansion of domestic demand†and a large number of high-energy-consuming projects in some regions have been put into production successively, industrial energy consumption will increase rapidly in the second half of this year, industrial energy-saving indicators There may be a rebound. In the first half of the year, the state introduced a series of measures to reverse the downward trend of the economy. A number of infrastructure construction projects, such as railways and airports, have been restarted one after another, driving the rapid development of high-energy-consuming industries and promoting rapid growth of industrial energy consumption. Recently, the approval speed of high-energy-consuming projects in some regions has accelerated, and a number of major industrial projects are about to start. In the second half of the year, the energy consumption of high-energy-consuming industries may grow rapidly with the growth of investment and the commissioning of projects. Although the implementation of the energy-saving products Huimin project and the development of energy-saving and environmental protection industries provide certain support for energy-saving and emission reduction, overall, the national industrial energy-saving and emission reduction situation in the second half of the year is not optimistic. How to deal with the rapid expansion of high energy-consuming industries? How to break the contradiction between economic development and energy saving and emission reduction? How to do a good job of energy saving and emission reduction The CCID Industrial Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Research Institute has proposed five policy recommendations: First, continue to do a good job in the new project. Strengthen energy conservation assessment and review of industrial investment projects, ensure good energy access and total pollutant discharge, and strengthen supervision and management of energy assessment and environmental impact assessment. The second is to effectively complete the task of eliminating backward production capacity. We will further phase out backward production capacity to specific enterprises and specific projects, effectively strengthen the supervision and evaluation of backward production capacity elimination, and promote the use of market means to eliminate backward production capacity. The third is to increase support for energy conservation and emission reduction of SMEs. Encourage specialized energy-saving service companies to carry out energy-saving and emission-reduction consultations for small and medium-sized enterprises; and study and introduce relevant policies and measures for the common problems of small and medium-sized enterprises in promoting cleaner production. The fourth is to study and formulate differentiated industrial energy conservation and emission reduction policies and measures. Including: regional industrial energy conservation and emission reduction differentiation policy, industrial industry energy conservation and emission reduction differentiation policy, industrial enterprises energy conservation and emission reduction differentiation policy. Fifth, continue to expand the scope of support for energy-saving products Huimin project. Expand the coverage of energy-saving home appliances; include a large amount of industrial energy-consuming products in the scope of subsidies
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