Russian media: J20 will repeal the US carrier's new tactics to rewrite the gap between China and the United States

The Voice of Russia website published on February 8 entitled "When will China come to the fore? In an article cited in the article, the new version of the "Military Balance Handbook" written by experts of the famous International Institute of Strategic Studies pointed out that in recent years, Asian countries have increased their military spending, the situation in the region has become increasingly tense, and the global balance of power is also tilting toward the region. Speaking of the increase in the strength of the Chinese navy, Kristian Le Meyer, an analyst at the International Institute of Strategic Studies, pointed out that China is actively developing ocean-going fleets. By the end of 2020, China may have three aircraft carrier battle groups, and it may be in parallel with the United States in volume by 2050.

For this prediction, Vasily Kashin, expert of the Center for Strategic and Technical Analysis of Russia, stated that the long-term forecast of military power growth is not reliable, and it also depends on unpredictable factors. The long-term prediction of the development of naval strength in the next decade is particularly uncertain, because in the foreseeable future, technological progress will change the characteristics of maritime warfare.

The article points out that as far back as the 1960s, military theorists of the former Soviet Union dispersed missile weapons would greatly weaken the role of aviation and would end the doctrine of the era of large combat ships. Khrushchev also said that the US aircraft carrier is the target of missiles. However, these prophecies at the time did not materialize.

With the improvement of technology, the situation is changing. The article stated that the new anti-ship ballistic missile deployed by China has caused serious questions about the survivability of the aircraft carrier in the Western Pacific. In addition, China is working on hypersonic weapons. The article speculates that hypersonic anti-ship cruise missiles can be controlled and fly in unpredictable orbits. This is one of the priorities for China’s military modernization.

The article also pointed out that China also needs other new possibilities. The unobtrusive and promising J-20 fighter is most likely constructed as a carrier that can use cruise missiles. The combination of new anti-ship weapons and stealth strike aircraft with high-speed and long-range performance may make many of the fantasy of military theorists in the 1960s a reality.

Russian media claimed that it is impossible to effectively protect large surface warships from missile strikes. The strategy and tactics of the sea battle will be completely changed. The experience of designing, building, and operating a large number of U.S. aircraft carriers also loses its value. Russian media believes that in developing new technologies and new tactics, the US military may in essence be in the same situation as China.

Russian media speculates that if there is a real fundamental change in technology and war strategy in the next decade, China’s progress will be accelerated as much as that of the United States. The United States is still the world’s number one nation in terms of technology and advanced technology, but China also has great potential. More importantly, China has always followed the scientific community's situation, successfully identified the most promising direction and invested heavily in it. From scratch, to build their own ocean fleet, the Chinese will be less constrained by traditions and dogmas and previous investments, and their plans may be more flexible and lively. The naval arms race in Asia may surprise people in the near future.

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